𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿
Mortgage rates continued to rise last week and hit the highest levels of the year, without any signs of a weakening economy or a softening jobs market. Talk of a recession, which would have helped bring mortgage rates back down, has all but disappeared and has been replaced with talk of a soft landing... the term used for seeing cooling inflation while maintaining a strong labor market and economy.
𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲
The outlook right now is that rates could continue higher, and may not see improvement without some help from next month's labor and inflation reports. Rates already starting this week out higher than last week, as bond yields rise and mortgage bonds lose ground.
𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- The Fed: Mortgage rates will not move much lower until expectations for future Fed rate cuts start to grow. Instead of cuts though, we could see markets price in another Fed rate hike before the end of the year, which would pressure mortgage rates even higher.
- Jackson Hole Symposium: Fed Chair Powell will speak about the outlook of the economy on Friday morning, and we could see mortgage rates affected by his speech.
Where are rates lately?
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