𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗱
Although moving slightly day-to-day, rates ended the week unchanged last week as was forecasted to happen.
𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲
Mortgage rates are likely to start the week of unchanged before becoming volatile on Wednesday with this month's Fed meeting and subsequent policy statement, followed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference. On Thursday, we could see some reaction in our markets to rate increases at the European Central Bank, which could influence mortgage rates, and on Friday we get jobs data which could also cause more volatility.
𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- The Fed: The Fed is expected to raise its policy rate by .25% this meeting, marking the 10th straight increase, which won't affect mortgage rates as markets have already priced in the move. However, markets will watch for signs that the Fed may be done hiking for now, which could help rates, and will closely follow Fed Chair Powell's press conference following the meeting.
- Economic data: The jobs data coming out on Friday is likely to affect mortgage rates, with signs that the labor market remains strong pressuring rates higher while any signs of weakness will help mortgage rates improve.
Where are rates lately?
Conventional 30 year fixed ($ 726,200 loan amount or less)
5.75% to 6.375% with points
FHA 30 year fixed ($ 726,200 loan amount or less)
5.25% to 5.75% with points
VA 30 year fixed ($ 726,200 loan amount or less)
5.25% to 5.75% with points
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